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Why Strategic Foresight has become a key competency
Strategic Foresight is not an “inspirational” discipline. It is not “imagining futures” in the abstract sense.
It is an operational method for identifying, before it is too late:
- the risks that can break a project,
- the opportunities that can propel it,
- the blind spots that destroy credibility,
- and the structural vulnerabilities that make a model non-financeable.
In practice, two methods are particularly useful, because they can be applied directly to a sketch:
Horizon Scanning
Looking beyond the project itself.
Scanning the environment to identify weak signals that point to:
- a technological disruption,
- a change in standards,
- a geopolitical shift,
- a cultural mutation,
- a market transformation,
- or a new requirement from funders.
Scenario Building
Building several coherent scenarios, then asking the simplest question:
In each of these possible worlds, does ou
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